Earth Networks has proudly joined forces with EarthRisk Technologies to provide a new SaaS forecasting interface for weather and energy analysts to assess the risk for regional extreme temperature events up to 40 days in advance.
The interface, known as TempRisk, utilizes a patent-pending innovation to generate analytical catalogs that quantify long-lead risks for severe weather in select key independent geographical regions. This EarthRisk product provides a new suite of tools for predicting extreme cold and extreme heat weather events with greater confidence than ever before.
Past Patterns: An Indication of Future Extremes
The TempRisk extreme temperature product 1) uses a comprehensive definition to examine the variability of regional extremes; 2) employs powerful statistical tools to investigate causality and begin a framework to develop models for skillful sub-seasonal predictability, on a probabilistic basis, for regional outbreaks of extreme events; and 3) examines synoptic causes and precursors of individual regional events to create a tool for extended forecasts.
Local Temperature Extremes
A regional "Magnitude Index" is computed to reflect the temperature intensity, duration and spatial extent of extreme temperature events
Precursor Weather Variables
The magnitude index is then the basis for creating composites of global weather patterns at leading and lagging timescales.
Each atmospheric pattern is tested against subsequent evidence of a severe temperature event. Analytical outputs demonstrate the historic relationship between a particular precursor pattern and a subsequent outbreak of severe hot or cold weather.